538 Election Forecast 2024

538 Election Forecast 2024. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning. An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 house of representatives elections.


538 Election Forecast 2024

Republicans win control 92 times out of 100 in our simulations of the 2024 senate election. For 2024, 538 has built a new presidential election forecast model.

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